Free-Range Weather

Cage-Free Weather Commentary


Last Warm Day of the Year in Central Oregon?

Hope you enjoyed yesterday, because it might have been our last warm day (70+) of the year. After a frosty start, we topped out at a pleasantly warm 77 degrees, six degrees above average.

Couldn’t Crack 80
The National Weather Service forecasted a high of 82, as did Neither forecasted a low near freezing (we hit 32.7 but had frost), so perhaps that cold start prevented us from hitting the magic 80 degree mark.

The Bend Airport’s high reached 84 after a comparatively balmy low of 42, so my reasoning holds there. What about Redmond? The airport soared to 85 after a chilly 33 degree start, an impressive 52 degree diurnal temperature swing. Hmmn…my theory doesn’t look so good after digesting those numbers. Perhaps Sisters had a bit of an inversion (cold air near the ground/warmer air above it; not the usual atmospheric setup!) that prevented the air mass from reaching its maximum temperature. More research may be needed.

golden quaking aspens

Central Oregon aspens will soon look like this. Glorious!

Next Two Weeks Look Very Autumnal
So why was yesterday probably our last 70 degree day until, I don’t know, April 2018? There are several reasons, but the most important are the rapidly decreasing sun angle and length of day. Even a week after the autumnal equinox, each day we’re still losing more than three minutes of daylight. Add that to an increasingly lower sun angle and it makes it harder to hit 70.

Oh, and soon storms will start rolling in from the Pacific, and while October storms don’t pack the meteorological wallop that December ones do, clouds and cool Pacific air tend to keep high temps in the 50s and low 60s.

The long-range forecasts are not on our side either. The Climate Prediction Center and call for 50s and 60s for the next two weeks. Adding all of these ingredients together, past mid-October it’s tough for Central Oregon to squeeze out another sparkling 70 degree day.

Let’s hope the forecasts are wrong and we can eke out at least one more 70 degree day before Old Man Winter takes up residence in Central Oregon for several months.


A Fire-Dousing Week in Central Oregon

After a wacky weather week that featured two days with highs in the 40s (!) in September and 1.12 inches of non-thunderstorm precipitation, things are slowly starting to return to normal in Central Oregon thanks to the return of high pressure.

The anomalous trough that brought the unseasonable weather has slowly started to shift east (good riddance!) as shown by this water vapor image from late Friday afternoon. We’re now in between the high pressure system (H) in the eastern Pacific and the low (L) that is now moving into the northern Rockies. Our little gray dot, sandwiched in the middle, has a couple of more cool-ish days before a nice warm up commences on Monday.

High pressure coming again to Central Oregon

The water vapor doesn’t lie – high pressure will soon dominate our weather.

While 45 degree highs in September are not my idea of fun, the downpour and high elevation snow has put some serious hurt on the zillion or so wildfires that were burning just a few days ago. Ahh…back to our piercingly clear skies! Now that’s something else to be happy about on a Friday evening.







How to Get the Best Local Weather Forecast

Duck weather vane

Will it be fair or fowl?

Local weather forecasts are ubiquitous – it’s hard to visit any website without a three- or five-day forecast prominently displayed. The accuracy of these forecasts could be off, however, if the site has guessed wrong on your location.

The solution? A hyper-local weather forecast, pinpointed to your exact location, obtainable wherever and whenever you need it.

Your National Weather Service has a site that let’s you do just that – and it’s pretty easy to use. Here’s a how-to on getting the most local weather forecast available.

How to Get The “Most” Local Weather Forecast

  1. On your mobile device or computer, go hereenter your zip code and click or tap Go. A forecast for your general area will appear.
  2. Move or scroll down to the map and expand it so you can find your location (+/- on computer; pinch/zoom on phone).
  3. When you’ve zoomed in enough to find your desired location, tap or click it and the page will reload with your requested pinpoint local forecast. (Pro tip: Changing the map view from the default Topographic to Streets or Satellite will make it easier to find your mark.)
  4. Bookmark your freshly created hyper-local personal weather site. You’re done!

If you’re a weather nerd like me or just want the most local forecast you can get, check out the pinpoint forecasts at